‘Newsletters&Commentary’

IT AINT OVER ‘TIL THE FAT LADY SINGS

Friday, May 1st, 2009

IT AINT OVER ‘TIL THE FAT LADY SINGS
by Egon von Greyerz

Spring is here and optimism is creeping back into the world economy. In this newsletter we will discuss why there will be a long time before the fat lady will sing (for explanation see Wikipedia). In our view we are still in the first act of three in a drama, the outcome of which will dwarf the most tragic of Wagner’s operas.
In our January 2009 Newsletter we forecast that there would be a correction up in the US stockmarket similar to 1930 when the market went up 50% from the low and then declined by a total
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Gold gains against all major currencies in Q1 2009

Thursday, April 9th, 2009

Gold outperformed most assets in the first quarter of 2009.

On the Matterhorn Asset Management website the  Gold charts pages show that  gold gained between 4% and 7% against major currencies  in Q1 2009. In spite of being well off the highs for the quarter gold still showed an excellent return.

But even more importantly the Dow Jones declined 17% against gold in the first quarter with similar falls for most major stock markets against gold.

In the last four years, since the beginning of 2005, gold has gained over 75% against the dollar, 100% against the Euro and 170% against the pound whilst the Dow has lost 62% against Gold in the same period.

Not
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G20 – Lies, damned lies and Gordon Brown lies

Friday, April 3rd, 2009

Gordon Brown has really surpassed himself in creative alchemy. He has turned $100 billion of G20 new commitments into $5 trillion of air!

Take $100 billion of committed new money, add $500 billion of already committed money, add non-committed but discussed amounts of $500 billion and you present a headline lie of $1.1. trillion. But it gets worse, Gordon Brown then claims the largest fiscal stimulus in history of $5 trillion. This is another lie. The $5 trillion contains no new funds but only the IMF’s estimate of the rise in the G20′s government borrowings between 2008 and 2010.

Poor Benjamin Disraeli is turning in his grave when he hears these
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G20 meeting will fail

Monday, March 30th, 2009

This week there will be a meeting between G20 leaders and central bankers in London to save the world economy.

Let us make it very clear – the meeting is bound to fail. There is no chance that the G20 leaders will reach an agreement that will save the world economy. Even two world leaders can’t agree on how solve the biggest global financial crisis that the world has ever encountered, never mind twenty.  Each one of twenty leaders has a different political agenda and they will all blame each other, so there is no possibility whatsoever that the meeting will result in more than the normal platitudes about cooperation  to
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A Devalued Gordon Brown

Friday, March 27th, 2009

In our February Newsletter we discussed the bankrupt UK econony. MEP (Member of European Parliament) Daniel Hannan makes a scathing attack on Gordon Brown and his failure in running the UK economy,  in the video clip below. This is an outstanding and extremely articulate speech accusing a devalued Prime Minister for having run the UK out of money. A MUST SEE!
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Bankers beware

Sunday, March 22nd, 2009

by Egon von Greyerz
The incitement to violence is gaining momentum and the latest example is an article in the Daily Mail:
Seize their Porches and throw them in jail! Shameless bankers are worse than Train Robbers
By Max Hastings
21st March 2009
“The best suggestion of the past week about how to punish Sir Fred Goodwin is that he should be obliged to report personally at an RBS branch to collect his pension cheques. If customers do not lynch him, staff will.

But too much attention has focused on Goodwin.

Of course, he is contemptible. But he is only one among thousands of monstrously over-rewarded merchants of failure.

At least the former RBS chief executive
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Quantitative easing = Unlimited printing

Thursday, March 19th, 2009

by Egon von Greyerz
The Fed decided yesterday to spend another $ 1.15 trillion to try to save the financial system. They will spend $ 750 billion to  buy mortgage backed securities and $ 300 billion to buy long term Tresuries.

These purchases will make the Fed’s balance sheet baloon to $ 4 trillion. Most of their assets will consist of worthless and unmarketable paper.

The total committed spending by the Fed and US treasury is now approaching $ 13 trillion. This amount is higher than US GDP for 2009!

But this won’t be enough. We have previously forecast that total support  or money printing will reach $20-30 trillion. We now ask ouerselves if
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The alchemist invests in gold

Thursday, March 19th, 2009

by Egon von Greyerz

Everything the world’s most successful hedge fund manager has touched in the last couple of years has turned to gold. Now he is also investing in gold. This will be the first of many fund purchases of undervalued gold shares.
Paulson said in a recent interview:
John Paulson: We believe one of the asset classes to benefit from the very expansive fiscal and monetary policies in the U.S. and other countries will be gold. The rapid expansion of U.S. sovereign debt and monetary supply may lead to diminished confidence in the U.S. dollar as a reserve currency.

As investors lose confidence in the U.S. dollar and other paper currencies, gold
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GOLDEN TIMES AHEAD

Thursday, March 12th, 2009

GOLDEN TIMES AHEAD
BUT ONLY FOR OWNERS OF PHYSICAL GOLD
by Egon von Greyerz
In this month’s newsletter we will discuss why physical gold is the most important and probably the only asset to protect investors’ wealth from total destruction in the next few years. Gold will not only preserve investors’ wealth, it will also continue to greatly enhance their wealth just as it has done for the last ten years. In 2002 Matterhorn advised investors to put up to 50% of their liquid assets in physical gold. Since then gold has appreciated over 200% against most currencies. But we believe that the big move in gold is still to come as we
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THE BANKRUPT SAVING THE BANKRUPT

Friday, February 6th, 2009

The bankrupt saving the bankrupt
by Egon von Greyerz
Who will save the UK?

Last month we said that the UK will follow Iceland in a hyper inflationary financial depression. Just one month later our predictions are being confirmed both by events in the UK economy as well as by forecasts from the IMF several economists and money managers.
If we look at the chain of UK debtors, every link is on the verge of bankruptcy.

The UK consumer debt is higher than GDP and unsecured personal debt is twice the level of the rest of Europe. The UK consumer debt has been built up during good times and there is no possibility that this
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